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Red44
234512.7
182712.9
635913.3
Blue40
50828.9
318412.2
199411.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41350102030506070804440

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6359
#24
13.30.3
12.813.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.2
red by 1.2
3184
#29
12.20.8
13.614.3
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End2.8
Second
1827
#12
12.90.3
12.412.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End3.5
red by 1.2
1994
#32
11.70.8
9.810.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End4.1
Third
2345
#17
12.70.3
13.413.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End2.8
red by 3.8
5082
#34
8.90.8
9.210.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed47%HAB Docking oddsMissed