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Red34
328413.9
198718.2
318412.2
Blue44
222019.9
514111.5
478614.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494620304060703444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.21.2
18.116.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End4.5
blue by 1.8
19.90.0
20.020.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End3.8
Second
3284
#27
13.91.2
15.013.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End2.2
blue by 0.2
4786
#18
14.10.0
14.414.5
Auto5.4
Teleop4.1
End4.7
Third
3184
#29
12.21.1
13.412.3
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End2.8
red by 0.7
5141
#14
11.50.0
9.39.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed