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Red56
199411.7
690719.4
199716.8
Blue89
198718.2
514111.5
198628.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4657203040507080905689

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6907
#20
19.41.0
17.418.4
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End4.3
blue by 9.1
28.51.3
27.528.8
Auto4.1
Teleop15.5
End8.9
Second
1997
#15
16.81.0
15.816.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.6
End6.1
blue by 1.4
18.21.5
16.918.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End4.5
Third
1994
#32
11.71.1
10.611.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End4.1
red by 0.3
5141
#14
11.51.3
9.310.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsMissed69%HAB Docking oddsEarned