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Red65
256018.0
452222.4
778516.6
Blue45
200111.4
234512.7
440021.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574720304070806545

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#22
22.40.1
21.321.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.3
End3.4
red by 0.9
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto3.8
Teleop13.8
End3.9
Second
2560
#19
18.00.1
16.616.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End4.1
red by 5.4
2345
#17
12.70.0
12.812.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End2.8
Third
7785
#10
16.60.1
16.016.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End4.4
red by 5.1
2001
#28
11.40.0
10.610.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed