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Red55
200111.4
318412.2
452222.4
Blue66
182712.9
694118.1
778516.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464920304060705566

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#22
22.40.8
21.422.1
Auto3.7
Teleop15.3
End3.4
red by 4.3
18.10.5
17.918.4
Auto3.6
Teleop10.0
End4.5
Second
3184
#29
12.20.8
11.612.5
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End2.8
blue by 4.4
7785
#10
16.60.5
16.116.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End4.4
Third
2001
#28
11.40.8
10.611.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End3.3
blue by 1.4
1827
#12
12.90.5
12.613.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsEarned46%HAB Docking oddsMissed