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Red66
440021.5
199411.7
635913.3
Blue66
328413.9
171017.8
245714.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504910203040607080906666

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.5
Auto3.8
Teleop13.8
End3.9
red by 3.7
1710
#21
17.8
Auto2.8
Teleop12.5
End2.5
Second
6359
#24
13.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.2
blue by 1.5
2457
#16
14.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End3.4
Third
1994
#32
11.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End4.1
blue by 2.2
3284
#27
13.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed