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Red55
452222.4
173020.0
256018.0
Blue47
694013.3
182519.9
171017.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645420304050607080905547

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#22
22.40.2
22.622.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.3
End3.4
red by 2.5
19.90.1
20.019.9
Auto3.7
Teleop13.9
End2.3
Second
20.00.2
20.019.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End6.8
red by 2.1
1710
#21
17.80.1
17.917.8
Auto2.8
Teleop12.5
End2.5
Third
2560
#19
18.00.2
18.117.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End4.1
red by 4.7
6940
#13
13.30.1
13.413.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End1.6