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Red24
696010.7
116021.5
395316.8
Blue53
512424.1
162220.3
330931.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528002040601001201402453

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1160
#15
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End2.9
blue by 10.2
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto4.9
Teleop19.4
End7.3
Second
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End7.8
blue by 7.3
24.10.0
24.124.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End5.3
Third
10.70.0
10.710.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End2.3
blue by 9.5
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket odds7%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking odds88%HAB Docking odds