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Red30
715711.5
696010.7
116021.5
Blue54
682112.4
744719.2
499911.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464510203040506070803054

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1160
#15
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End2.9
red by 2.3
7447
#10
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.8
End4.0
Second
7157
#14
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End4.6
blue by 0.9
6821
#11
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Third
10.70.0
10.710.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End2.3
blue by 0.3
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking odds29%HAB Docking odds