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Red32
567812.7
330931.7
682112.4
Blue35
395316.8
441524.6
715711.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605601001503235

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto4.9
Teleop19.4
End7.3
red by 7.0
4415
#12
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto3.0
Teleop14.6
End7.0
Second
5678
#13
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End2.5
blue by 4.1
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End7.8
Third
6821
#11
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.7
red by 0.9
7157
#14
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking odds96%HAB Docking odds