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Red54
696010.7
364731.7
162220.3
Blue24
116021.5
682112.4
441524.6
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66622040801005424

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto5.1
Teleop23.0
End3.6
red by 7.0
4415
#12
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto3.0
Teleop14.6
End7.0
Second
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End7.2
blue by 1.2
1160
#15
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End2.9
Third
10.70.0
10.710.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End2.3
blue by 1.7
6821
#11
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
20%Rocket odds4%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking odds65%HAB Docking odds