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Red52
581010.4
40568.8
265826.6
Blue58
347626.1
690415.7
312829.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487502040601001201401605258

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto3.5
Teleop13.6
End9.5
blue by 2.9
29.50.0
29.529.5
Auto5.0
Teleop17.6
End6.9
Second
5810
#10
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto0.1
Teleop5.3
End4.9
blue by 15.8
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto3.1
Teleop17.6
End5.4
Third
4056
#13
8.80.0
8.88.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End1.9
blue by 6.9
15.70.0
15.715.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds27%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
70%HAB Docking odds60%HAB Docking odds