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Red48
265826.6
347626.1
519932.2
Blue80
330931.7
427622.2
98014.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90720501001504880

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto3.1
Teleop20.8
End8.3
red by 0.5
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto4.9
Teleop19.4
End7.3
Second
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto3.5
Teleop13.6
End9.5
red by 4.4
4276
#12
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.7
End3.8
Third
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto3.1
Teleop17.6
End5.4
red by 11.4
980
#7
14.70.0
14.714.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
60%Rocket odds4%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
98%HAB Docking odds57%HAB Docking odds