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Red71
330931.7
690415.7
312829.5
Blue26
68723.8
347626.1
347323.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817702040601001201401607126

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto4.9
Teleop19.4
End7.3
red by 5.5
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto3.1
Teleop17.6
End5.4
Second
29.50.0
29.529.5
Auto5.0
Teleop17.6
End6.9
red by 5.7
687
#9
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto3.7
Teleop16.1
End4.0
Third
15.70.0
15.715.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
blue by 7.7
3473
#14
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto5.8
Teleop13.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket odds17%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking odds55%HAB Docking odds