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Red33
427622.2
581010.4
249610.8
Blue61
265826.6
407923.3
68723.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4678020601001201403361

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#12
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.7
End3.8
blue by 4.4
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto3.5
Teleop13.6
End9.5
Second
2496
#15
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End1.7
blue by 13.0
687
#9
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto3.7
Teleop16.1
End4.0
Third
5810
#10
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto0.1
Teleop5.3
End4.9
blue by 12.9
4079
#11
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking odds93%HAB Docking odds