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Red33
40568.8
427622.2
347323.4
Blue55
519932.2
249610.8
347626.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577301001502003355

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3473
#14
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto5.8
Teleop13.5
End4.1
blue by 8.8
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto3.1
Teleop20.8
End8.3
Second
4276
#12
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.7
End3.8
blue by 3.9
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto3.1
Teleop17.6
End5.4
Third
4056
#13
8.80.0
8.88.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End1.9
blue by 2.0
2496
#15
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds54%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking odds76%HAB Docking odds