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Red47
448625.8
113821.2
396516.8
Blue58
325521.2
330931.7
72308.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6765204060801004758

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4486
#13
25.80.0
25.825.8
Auto3.5
Teleop16.9
End5.4
blue by 5.9
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto4.9
Teleop19.4
End7.3
Second
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End6.1
red by 0.1
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End7.7
Third
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End5.6
red by 8.3
7230
#16
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto2.8
Teleop2.0
End3.7