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Red65
183626.5
396516.8
70221.7
Blue60
432215.4
330931.7
508922.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697402040601001201401606560

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.8
blue by 5.1
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto4.9
Teleop19.4
End7.3
Second
702
#10
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End3.4
blue by 1.1
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End3.6
Third
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End5.6
red by 1.4
4322
#14
15.40.0
15.415.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds10%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking odds58%HAB Docking odds