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Red64
183626.5
448625.8
113821.2
Blue44
396516.8
70221.7
210223.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786620401001201406444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.8
red by 2.7
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End8.0
Second
4486
#13
25.80.0
25.825.8
Auto3.5
Teleop16.9
End5.4
red by 4.1
702
#10
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End3.4
Third
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End6.1
red by 4.4
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket odds4%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking odds78%HAB Docking odds