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Red57
28123.4
641921.6
741210.7
Blue45
393727.3
597110.9
586312.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41481020306070805745

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#5
23.41.0
17.018.0
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End7.7
blue by 3.8
3937
#27
27.30.3
24.223.9
Auto3.4
Teleop20.8
End3.1
Second
21.61.3
14.015.4
Auto4.9
Teleop10.0
End6.7
red by 9.6
5863
#55
12.00.4
11.511.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End2.2
Third
7412
#48
10.71.3
8.09.3
Auto4.9
Teleop2.3
End3.5
blue by 0.2
5971
#25
10.90.4
10.09.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed12%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed