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Red27
394617.0
181812.4
516811.8
Blue23
74744.6
401314.1
597110.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423001020506070802723

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3946
#13Sur
17.00.9
11.710.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End5.3
red by 2.8
4013
#35Sur
14.10.3
12.311.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Second
1818
#11
12.41.4
14.813.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End3.7
red by 1.6
5971
#25
10.90.6
9.69.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Third
5168
#44
11.81.4
12.811.4
Auto2.2
Teleop6.8
End2.8
red by 7.1
7474
#59
4.60.6
6.35.7
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed