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Red33
393727.3
497811.9
5907.5
Blue87
648912.8
408719.1
606817.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4238102030506070803387

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#27
27.30.5
23.923.4
Auto3.4
Teleop20.8
End3.1
red by 8.2
4087
#12
19.11.1
18.419.5
Auto5.8
Teleop5.1
End8.2
Second
4978
#36
11.90.8
7.56.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End3.9
blue by 5.2
6068
#10
17.11.6
10.812.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End4.9
Third
590
#56
7.50.8
8.57.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End3.2
blue by 5.3
6489
#22
12.81.6
7.28.9
Auto5.6
Teleop3.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
14%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed51%HAB Docking oddsEarned