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Red40
28123.4
733111.2
299226.0
Blue64
36436.6
228321.3
136918.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5470204060801004064

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.01.0
19.318.2
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End8.4
blue by 10.6
364
#1
36.60.2
32.232.0
Auto6.0
Teleop21.2
End9.4
Second
281
#5
23.41.0
18.017.0
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End7.7
red by 2.2
21.30.2
18.218.1
Auto3.4
Teleop12.2
End5.7
Third
7331
#52
11.21.3
14.313.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End4.0
blue by 7.4
1369
#33
18.60.2
15.715.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
65%HAB Docking oddsMissed72%HAB Docking oddsEarned