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Red37
136918.6
208016.2
74744.6
Blue45
361619.8
78999.2
303926.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425420305060703745

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1369
#33
18.60.2
18.418.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End4.7
blue by 7.9
3039
#15
26.50.6
23.222.6
Auto4.2
Teleop16.1
End6.1
Second
2080
#16
16.20.2
15.715.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End4.8
blue by 3.7
19.80.6
19.018.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End6.4
Third
7474
#59
4.60.3
5.75.4
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.0
End1.7
blue by 4.6
7899
#41
9.21.0
8.77.7
Auto1.8
Teleop3.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed59%HAB Docking oddsEarned