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Red44
692311.8
727513.2
28123.4
Blue47
709414.6
578511.7
766115.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44341020304050604447

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#5
23.40.4
18.818.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End7.7
red by 8.5
7661
#20
15.01.7
10.011.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End4.0
Second
7275
#45
13.20.7
11.811.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End3.1
blue by 1.5
7094
#50
14.61.7
12.414.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Third
6923
#23
11.80.7
10.710.0
Auto2.7
Teleop5.9
End3.3
red by 0.1
5785
#46
11.71.7
9.511.2
Auto5.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed