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Red43
228321.3
692311.8
783410.7
Blue30
396614.7
74744.6
191219.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4036203050604330

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.4
19.219.5
Auto3.4
Teleop12.2
End5.7
red by 2.2
1912
#18
19.10.7
16.415.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End6.3
Second
6923
#23
11.80.6
10.010.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.9
End3.3
blue by 2.8
3966
#43
14.70.7
12.011.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End3.5
Third
7834
#32
10.70.6
8.59.1
Auto4.1
Teleop1.9
End4.7
red by 6.0
7474
#59
4.60.7
5.44.7
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed