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Red60
360616.5
192710.9
303926.5
Blue63
45625.2
20789.5
228321.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4851304060706063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#15
26.51.0
22.623.6
Auto4.2
Teleop16.1
End6.1
red by 1.2
456
#3
25.21.0
20.621.6
Auto5.5
Teleop11.1
End8.6
Second
3606
#54
16.51.7
11.913.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End3.7
blue by 4.8
21.31.0
19.520.5
Auto3.4
Teleop12.2
End5.7
Third
1927
#58
10.91.7
10.512.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End1.4
red by 1.3
2078
#37
9.51.6
8.19.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed73%HAB Docking oddsEarned