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Red38
222111.5
333710.8
396614.7
Blue63
783614.3
756214.4
399115.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323410204050603863

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3966
#43
14.70.9
11.212.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End3.5
blue by 0.4
3991
#29
15.11.4
11.913.3
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.2
Second
2221
#53
11.50.9
9.610.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 2.8
7562
#21
14.42.3
10.913.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End3.7
Third
3337
#26
10.80.9
9.09.9
Auto2.1
Teleop6.1
End2.5
blue by 3.6
7836
#24
14.32.3
9.411.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed