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Red41
727513.2
602521.0
66778.6
Blue85
191219.1
361619.8
606817.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405720804185

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6025
#17
21.00.4
19.620.0
Auto3.6
Teleop14.6
End2.9
red by 1.2
19.80.4
19.219.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End6.4
Second
7275
#45
13.20.4
11.912.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End3.1
blue by 5.9
1912
#18
19.10.7
18.018.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End6.3
Third
6677
#51
8.60.4
5.96.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End2.4
blue by 8.6
6068
#10
17.10.7
16.417.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed76%HAB Docking oddsEarned