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Red54
741210.7
45625.2
497811.9
Blue51
599716.3
136918.6
578511.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41460102030506070805451

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#3
25.20.8
22.323.1
Auto5.5
Teleop11.1
End8.6
red by 6.7
1369
#33
18.60.3
17.818.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End4.7
Second
4978
#36
11.91.3
8.910.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End3.9
blue by 4.4
5997
#30
16.30.5
15.015.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Third
7412
#48
10.71.3
8.09.3
Auto4.9
Teleop2.3
End3.5
blue by 1.1
5785
#46
11.70.5
10.611.1
Auto5.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed