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Red48
181812.4
303926.5
597110.9
Blue29
375311.9
399115.1
410714.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484002060801004829

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#15
26.50.2
22.322.5
Auto4.2
Teleop16.1
End6.1
red by 11.4
3991
#29
15.11.9
13.311.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.2
Second
1818
#11
12.40.3
13.613.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End3.7
blue by 1.7
4107
#38
14.12.4
12.29.8
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End3.1
Third
5971
#25
10.90.3
9.710.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 1.1
3753
#42
11.92.4
12.710.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed