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Red52
783410.7
136918.6
606817.1
Blue32
597110.9
728810.1
360616.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4941203060705232

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1369
#33
18.60.0
18.118.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End4.7
red by 2.1
3606
#54
16.50.7
15.014.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End3.7
Second
6068
#10
17.10.0
17.117.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End4.9
red by 6.3
5971
#25
10.90.7
12.011.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Third
7834
#32
10.70.0
10.910.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.9
End4.7
red by 0.6
7288
#47
10.10.7
11.711.0
Auto3.8
Teleop2.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed