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Red74
36436.6
396614.7
76487.2
Blue66
394617.0
410714.1
361619.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5750304070807466

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#1
36.60.9
35.136.0
Auto6.0
Teleop21.2
End9.4
red by 16.8
19.80.6
19.620.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End6.4
Second
3966
#43
14.71.3
13.414.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End3.5
blue by 2.3
3946
#13
17.00.6
14.214.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End5.3
Third
7648
#40
7.21.3
5.87.2
Auto3.7
Teleop1.6
End1.9
blue by 7.0
4107
#38
14.10.9
13.314.1
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned55%HAB Docking oddsEarned