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Red33
399115.1
783410.7
20789.5
Blue78
578511.7
393727.3
208016.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3756203050607080903378

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3991
#29
15.10.1
14.614.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.2
blue by 12.2
3937
#27
27.30.5
25.526.0
Auto3.4
Teleop20.8
End3.1
Second
7834
#32
10.70.2
10.910.7
Auto4.1
Teleop1.9
End4.7
blue by 5.5
2080
#16
16.20.5
16.517.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End4.8
Third
2078
#37
9.50.2
9.89.5
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End2.9
blue by 2.2
5785
#46
11.70.7
11.111.7
Auto5.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed14%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed