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Red20
610310.3
222111.5
401314.1
Blue40
218317.0
191219.1
727513.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3846102030506070802040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4013
#35
14.11.2
13.011.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End1.8
blue by 5.0
1912
#18
19.10.4
14.313.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End6.3
Second
2221
#53
11.51.8
12.310.4
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 5.5
2183
#49
17.00.3
17.317.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End4.1
Third
6103
#39
10.31.8
11.29.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End2.0
blue by 2.9
7275
#45
13.20.4
11.811.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed