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Red70
176114.3
431125.3
34813.9
Blue62
242313.4
575215.5
556316.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524720304060707062

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.5
24.024.5
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End5.3
red by 9.1
5563
#16
16.20.3
16.116.4
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End3.6
Second
1761
#17
14.30.5
13.013.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End3.2
blue by 1.2
15.50.3
15.415.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End3.3
Third
348
#24
13.90.5
12.613.0
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End2.8
red by 0.4
13.40.3
13.313.6
Auto2.8
Teleop6.6
End4.0