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Red25
359713.3
575215.5
34813.9
Blue43
620114.5
9714.9
431125.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40501020306070802543

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.50.9
12.411.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End3.3
blue by 9.8
25.30.5
23.823.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End5.3
Second
348
#24
13.90.9
12.811.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End2.8
blue by 1.0
97
#11
14.90.5
14.413.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.9
End3.1
Third
3597
#12
13.31.4
12.811.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End5.1
blue by 1.2
14.50.5
9.08.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed