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Red76
620114.5
630113.5
172116.3
Blue59
652912.6
176822.8
176114.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313710205060707659

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1721
#13
16.31.8
11.513.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.6
End2.2
blue by 6.5
22.81.6
15.617.2
Auto4.0
Teleop15.7
End3.1
Second
14.51.8
8.610.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.2
End5.0
red by 0.2
1761
#17
14.31.6
9.110.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End3.2
Third
6301
#14
13.51.8
9.711.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End3.7
red by 0.9
6529
#27
12.61.6
10.512.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsEarned9%HAB Docking oddsMissed