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Red36
779518.3
46711.8
242313.4
Blue53
176114.3
575215.5
9714.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393810203050603653

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7795
#21
18.30.1
15.615.5
Auto3.4
Teleop12.4
End2.5
red by 2.7
15.50.1
11.511.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End3.3
Second
13.40.1
9.39.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.6
End4.0
blue by 1.4
97
#11
14.90.1
13.914.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.9
End3.1
Third
467
#18
11.80.1
12.212.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End4.0
blue by 2.5
1761
#17
14.30.1
10.710.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsEarned