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Red36
676318.2
556316.2
620114.5
Blue22
34813.9
630113.5
782213.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4538102030506070803622

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6763
#19
18.20.5
15.915.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End2.7
red by 4.4
348
#24
13.90.9
11.911.0
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End2.8
Second
5563
#16
16.20.5
15.615.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End3.6
red by 2.7
7822
#26
13.50.9
12.511.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End3.2
Third
14.50.5
11.310.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.2
End5.0
red by 1.1
6301
#14
13.50.9
11.410.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed