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Red46
556316.2
172116.3
54917.0
Blue35
46711.8
130714.1
676318.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4040303545504635

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1721
#13
16.30.4
10.410.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.6
End2.2
blue by 2.0
6763
#19
18.20.4
15.815.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Second
5563
#16
16.20.4
14.815.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End3.6
red by 2.1
1307
#25
14.10.4
10.810.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.7
End2.0
Third
5491
#28
7.00.6
12.513.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End1.5
blue by 4.9
467
#18
11.80.4
11.210.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed