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Red59
46711.8
147425.7
359713.3
Blue56
652912.6
568731.1
556316.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4855203040607080905956

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.9
23.724.7
Auto5.4
Teleop13.8
End6.5
blue by 5.4
31.10.3
24.524.7
Auto3.1
Teleop19.8
End8.2
Second
3597
#12
13.31.5
9.310.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End5.1
blue by 2.9
5563
#16
16.20.3
15.215.4
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End3.6
Third
467
#18
11.80.9
12.113.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End4.0
blue by 0.8
6529
#27
12.60.3
12.112.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned63%HAB Docking oddsEarned