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Red60
556316.2
2469.1
176822.8
Blue23
9714.9
242313.4
636711.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4641203050606023

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.9
19.520.4
Auto4.0
Teleop15.7
End3.1
red by 7.9
97
#11
14.91.1
15.114.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.9
End3.1
Second
5563
#16
16.20.9
16.016.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End3.6
red by 2.8
13.41.1
13.612.5
Auto2.8
Teleop6.6
End4.0
Third
246
#20
9.10.9
8.39.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 2.1
6367
#22
11.21.4
10.59.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed