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Red30
782213.5
34813.9
555616.1
Blue70
568731.1
575215.5
676318.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426020801003070

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5556
#15
16.10.7
14.914.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.0
End2.8
blue by 15.0
31.10.9
28.329.2
Auto3.1
Teleop19.8
End8.2
Second
348
#24
13.90.7
12.211.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End2.8
blue by 4.4
6763
#19
18.20.9
15.916.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Third
7822
#26
13.50.7
12.712.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End3.2
blue by 2.0
15.50.9
12.813.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed63%HAB Docking oddsEarned