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Red47
431125.3
573514.0
46711.8
Blue69
620114.5
176114.3
147425.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58543040507080904769

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.5
24.223.7
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End5.3
blue by 0.4
25.71.0
26.227.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.8
End6.5
Second
5735
#10
14.00.5
16.616.1
Auto5.5
Teleop4.6
End3.9
blue by 0.5
14.51.0
12.913.9
Auto5.3
Teleop4.2
End5.0
Third
467
#18
11.80.5
13.613.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End4.0
blue by 2.5
1761
#17
14.31.0
11.912.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsEarned