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Red41
636711.2
176822.8
568731.1
Blue55
575215.5
490925.9
46711.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5642203050607080904155

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.8
24.924.1
Auto3.1
Teleop19.8
End8.2
red by 5.3
25.90.8
18.018.8
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End7.5
Second
22.80.9
16.315.4
Auto4.0
Teleop15.7
End3.1
red by 7.2
15.50.9
11.312.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End3.3
Third
6367
#22
11.21.3
11.910.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.6
End2.7
blue by 0.6
467
#18
11.80.8
10.811.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned31%HAB Docking oddsMissed