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Red39
726613.7
652912.6
172116.3
Blue77
176822.8
431125.3
779518.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456620304050607080903977

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1721
#13
16.30.3
16.015.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.6
End2.2
blue by 9.0
25.30.3
23.724.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End5.3
Second
7266
#23
13.70.3
14.013.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End4.2
blue by 9.1
22.80.3
20.420.7
Auto4.0
Teleop15.7
End3.1
Third
6529
#27
12.60.3
12.912.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End1.8
blue by 5.7
7795
#21
18.30.3
18.118.4
Auto3.4
Teleop12.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed