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Red58
176822.8
2469.1
9714.9
Blue34
130714.1
573514.0
556316.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46502030406070805834

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.3
20.721.0
Auto4.0
Teleop15.7
End3.1
red by 6.6
5563
#16
16.20.9
17.016.1
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End3.6
Second
97
#11
14.90.3
14.114.4
Auto3.8
Teleop7.9
End3.1
red by 0.8
1307
#25
14.10.9
14.113.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.7
End2.0
Third
246
#20
9.10.3
9.09.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 4.9
5735
#10
14.00.9
16.115.3
Auto5.5
Teleop4.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed