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Red40
575215.5
176822.8
630113.5
Blue28
782213.5
556316.2
636711.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3942203050604028

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.2
15.415.6
Auto4.0
Teleop15.7
End3.1
red by 6.6
5563
#16
16.20.8
15.214.4
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End3.6
Second
15.50.2
12.212.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End3.3
red by 2.0
7822
#26
13.50.8
13.913.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End3.2
Third
6301
#14
13.50.2
9.59.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End3.7
red by 2.3
6367
#22
11.21.3
10.59.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed