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Red42
252317.5
500015.2
20799.8
Blue53
323620.7
676315.8
356616.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424302060804253

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2523
#17
17.51.1
13.512.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End3.1
blue by 3.3
20.71.4
14.816.2
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Second
5000
#20
15.21.1
11.210.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End2.8
blue by 1.0
3566
#11
16.30.8
10.411.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End3.3
Third
2079
#35
9.81.1
14.613.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End1.9
blue by 6.0
6763
#25
15.81.4
15.416.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed